Humber Estuary
Case Study A
Bird species included in model
Bar-tailed godwit (Limosa lapponica), Black-tailed godwit (Limosa limosa), Common redshank (Tringa totanus), Dunlin (Calidris alpina), Eurasian curlew (Numenius arquata), Eurasian oystercatcher (Haematopus ostralegus), Grey plover (Pluvialis squatarola), Red knot (Calidris canutus), Ringed plover (Charadrius hiaticula)
Environmental issues simulated
Port development and sea-level rise changing habitat area and habitat availability time
Recommendations from modelling
Sea-level rise and port development can reduce shorebird survival if feeding conditions poor.
More information
Stillman, R. A., West, A. D., Goss-Custard, J. D., McGrorty, S., Frost, N. J., Morrisey, D. J., Kenny, A. J. & Drewitt, A. L. (2005) Predicting site quality for shorebird communities: a case study on the Humber estuary, UK. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 305, 203-217.
Funding
ABP Marine Environmental Research and English Nature
Case Study B
Bird species included in model
Bar-tailed godwit (Limosa lapponica), Black-tailed godwit (Limosa limosa), Common redshank (Tringa totanus), Dunlin (Calidris alpina), Eurasian curlew (Numenius arquata), Eurasian oystercatcher (Haematopus ostralegus), Grey plover (Pluvialis squatarola), Red knot (Calidris canutus), Sanderling (Calidris alba), Turnstone (Arenaria interpres)
Environmental issues simulated
Unspecified driver and sea-level rise changing habitat area and habitat availability time
Recommendations from modelling
Habitat loss and sea-level rise can reduce shorebird survival, but effects vary between species.
More information
Bowgen, K.M., 2016. Predicting the effect of environmental change on wading birds: insights from individual-based models. PhD thesis, Bournemouth University in collaboration with HR Wallingford.
Funding
Bournemouth University and HR Wallingford
Case Study C
Bird species included in model
Bar-tailed godwit (Limosa lapponica), Black-tailed godwit (Limosa limosa), Common redshank (Tringa totanus), Dunlin (Calidris alpina), Eurasian curlew (Numenius arquata), Eurasian oystercatcher (Haematopus ostralegus), Grey plover (Pluvialis squatarola), Red knot (Calidris canutus), Ringed plover (Charadrius hiaticula), Turnstone (Arenaria interpres), Sanderling (Calidris alba)
Environmental issues simulated
Intertidal habitat creation
Recommendations from modelling
Increasing the area of intertidal habitat by the creation of a coastline managed realignment site can increase the number of birds supported.
More information
Mander, L. (2023) Understanding space and habitat use of the near threatened Eurasian curlew to inform the value of habitat restoration schemes for the species’ conservation. PhD Thesis, University of Hull.
Funding
University of Hull