Humboldt Bay

Humboldt Bay

by | Sep 15, 2019

Humboldt Bay

Bird species included in model

Black brant (Branta bernicula nigricans)

Environmental issues simulated

Natural variation, sea-level rise / sediment change and recreation changing habitat area, habitat availability time and food quality

Recommendations from modelling

Increased disturbance from human activities or reduced food supply reduce emigration of black brant.

More information

Stillman, R.A., Wood, K. A., Gilkerson, W., Elkinton, E., Black, J. M., Ward, D. H. and Petrie, M. (2015) Predicting effects of environmental change on a migratory herbivore. Ecosphere, 6(7), 114. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/ES14-00455.1.

Funding

Ducks Unlimited, Inc., funded this study (Project US-RS-14-2)

Lauderdale

Lauderdale

by | Sep 13, 2019

Lauderdale

Multi-site model

Barilla Bay, Five Mile Beach, Lauderdale, Mortimer Bay, Orielton Lagoon, Pipeclay Lagoon, South Arm Neck

Bird species included in model

Pied oystercatcher (Haematopus longirostri)

Environmental issues simulated

Marina development changing habitat area and habitat availability time

Recommendations from modelling

Marina development does not decrease Pied Oystercatcher survival due to the quantity of food available.

More information

Atkinson, P.W. and Stillman, R.A., 2008. Carrying Capacity Modelling for the Pied Oystercatcher at Lauderdale and Surrounding Sites. Lauderdale Quay Proposal, British Trust for Ornithology, Norfolk.

Funding

British Trust for Ornithology

Lauwersmeer

Lauwersmeer

by | Sep 12, 2019

Lauwersmeer

Bird species included in model

Bewick’s swan (Cygnus columbianus bewickii)

Environmental issues simulated

Water level management changing food availability

Recommendations from modelling

Higher water levels, by reducing food availability, can reduce the number of Bewick’s Swan support.

More information

Nolet, B.A., Gyimesi, A., van Krimpen, R.R.D., de Boer, W.F. and Stillman, R.A., 2016. Predicting Effects of Water Regime Changes on Waterbirds: Insights from Staging Swans. Plos One, 11(2): e0147340.

Funding

Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (http://www.nwo.nl), NWO grant 814.01.008 to BAN.

Liverpool Bay

Liverpool Bay

by | Sep 11, 2019

Liverpool Bay

Bird species included in model

Common scoter (Melanitta nigra)

Environmental issues simulated

Offshore windfarm development changing habitat area

Recommendations from modelling

Windfarm development in relatively shallow food-rich areas can reduce Common Scoter survival.

More information

Kaiser, M.J., Elliott, A., Galanidi, M., Rees, E.I.S., Caldow, R., Stillman, R., Sutherland, W. and Showler, D., 2005. Predicting the displacement of common scoter Melanitta nigra from benthic feeding areas due to offshore windfarms, University of Wales, Bangor, Wales.

Funding

COWRIE under BEN-03-2002. Additional funding from Countryside Council for Wales, English Nature, The Crown Estate, BHP and developers of offshore windfarms in Liverpool Bay.

Martin Mere

Martin Mere

by | Sep 10, 2019

Martin Mere

Bird species included in model

Pink-footed goose (Anser brachyrhynchus)

Environmental issues simulated

Land use change and human iteration via disturbance affecting habitat area and availability time

Recommendations from modelling

Habitat loss and disturbance impact on pink-footed goose survival depends on proportion of habitat that is exploitable.

More information

Bournemouth University and Wildfowl and Wetlands Trust, 2018. Wildfowl functionally linked land. ECM_48346. Individual based modelling approach, Wildfowl and Wetlands Trust, Slimbridge, Gloucestershire.

Funding

Natural England