Lauderdale

Lauderdale

by | Sep 13, 2019

Lauderdale

Multi-site model

Barilla Bay, Five Mile Beach, Lauderdale, Mortimer Bay, Orielton Lagoon, Pipeclay Lagoon, South Arm Neck

Bird species included in model

Pied oystercatcher (Haematopus longirostri)

Environmental issues simulated

Marina development changing habitat area and habitat availability time

Recommendations from modelling

Marina development does not decrease Pied Oystercatcher survival due to the quantity of food available.

More information

Atkinson, P.W. and Stillman, R.A., 2008. Carrying Capacity Modelling for the Pied Oystercatcher at Lauderdale and Surrounding Sites. Lauderdale Quay Proposal, British Trust for Ornithology, Norfolk.

Funding

British Trust for Ornithology

Lauwersmeer

Lauwersmeer

by | Sep 12, 2019

Lauwersmeer

Bird species included in model

Bewick’s swan (Cygnus columbianus bewickii)

Environmental issues simulated

Water level management changing food availability

Recommendations from modelling

Higher water levels, by reducing food availability, can reduce the number of Bewick’s Swan support.

More information

Nolet, B.A., Gyimesi, A., van Krimpen, R.R.D., de Boer, W.F. and Stillman, R.A., 2016. Predicting Effects of Water Regime Changes on Waterbirds: Insights from Staging Swans. Plos One, 11(2): e0147340.

Funding

Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (http://www.nwo.nl), NWO grant 814.01.008 to BAN.

Liverpool Bay

Liverpool Bay

by | Sep 11, 2019

Liverpool Bay

Bird species included in model

Common scoter (Melanitta nigra)

Environmental issues simulated

Offshore windfarm development changing habitat area

Recommendations from modelling

Windfarm development in relatively shallow food-rich areas can reduce Common Scoter survival.

More information

Kaiser, M.J., Elliott, A., Galanidi, M., Rees, E.I.S., Caldow, R., Stillman, R., Sutherland, W. and Showler, D., 2005. Predicting the displacement of common scoter Melanitta nigra from benthic feeding areas due to offshore windfarms, University of Wales, Bangor, Wales.

Funding

COWRIE under BEN-03-2002. Additional funding from Countryside Council for Wales, English Nature, The Crown Estate, BHP and developers of offshore windfarms in Liverpool Bay.

Martin Mere

Martin Mere

by | Sep 10, 2019

Martin Mere

Bird species included in model

Pink-footed goose (Anser brachyrhynchus)

Environmental issues simulated

Land use change and human iteration via disturbance affecting habitat area and availability time

Recommendations from modelling

Habitat loss and disturbance impact on pink-footed goose survival depends on proportion of habitat that is exploitable.

More information

Bournemouth University and Wildfowl and Wetlands Trust, 2018. Wildfowl functionally linked land. ECM_48346. Individual based modelling approach, Wildfowl and Wetlands Trust, Slimbridge, Gloucestershire.

Funding

Natural England

Severn Estuary

Severn Estuary

by | Sep 5, 2019

Severn Estuary

Case Study A

Bird species included in model

Black-tailed godwit (Limosa limosa), Common redshank (Tringa totanus), Common snipe (Gallinago gallinago), Dunlin (Calidris alpina), Eurasian curlew (Numenius arquata), Eurasian oystercatcher (Haematopus ostralegus), Golden plover (Pluvialis apricaria), Grey plover (Pluvialis squatarola), Lapwing (Vanellus vanellus), Red knot (Calidris canutus), Ringed plover (Charadrius hiaticula), Turnstone (Arenaria interpres)

Environmental issues simulated

Tidal power barrage development changing habitat area, availability time and food quality

Recommendations from modelling

Tidal barrages which reduce availability of higher quality feeding habitat have greatest impact on number of shorebirds that can be supported.

More information

Bournemouth University, 2010. Severn tidal power – Sea topic paper. Waterbirds. Annex 3 – Waterbird Individual based modelling., Poole, Dorset, Bournemouth University.

Funding

Parsons Brinckerhoff Ltd, Black and Veatch Limited, Department for Energy and Climate Change

Case Study B

Bird species included in model

Black-tailed godwit (Limosa limosa), Common redshank (Tringa totanus), Dunlin (Calidris alpina), Eurasian curlew (Numenius arquata), Eurasian oystercatcher (Haematopus ostralegus), Grey plover (Pluvialis squatarola), Red knot (Calidris canutus), Ringed plover (Charadrius hiaticula), Turnstone (Arenaria interpres)

Environmental issues simulated

Unspecified driver and sea-level rise changing habitat area and habitat availability time

Recommendations from modelling

Habitat loss and sea-level rise can reduce shorebird survival, but effects vary between species.

More information

Bowgen, K.M., 2016. Predicting the effect of environmental change on wading birds: insights from individual-based models. PhD thesis, Bournemouth University in collaboration with HR Wallingford.

Funding

Bournemouth University and HR Wallingford